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Warren BUFFETT
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American Express -

- DOW JONES 30 - Consumer Finance

American Express Company (American Express) is a global payments and travel company. The Company?s principal products and services are charge and credit payment card products, and travel-related services offered to consumers and businesses around the world.

MARGIN OF SAFETY of American Express : (negative)
The Margin of Safety of American Express is not OK (<50%).
How is the Margin of Safety calculated ?

QUALITY :
Conservative Investors : Earnings Stability OKDividends OKEarnings Growth OK
Enterprising Investors : Earnings Stability OKDividends OK

What are the Stars ?

FORUMS
VISIT American Express FORUM !
Alerts : SELL at : 14.09 USD on : 3/18/2009
STOP at : 37.81 USD on : 8/25/2008
What are the alerts ?

Price over 1 year :

PRICE, INTRINSIC VALUE & MARGIN OF SAFETY based on GRAHAM's FORMULA
What is the Graham's Formula ?
American Express price is :
(as of 5/21/2009)
USD
Current Earnings per Share
(2008 est.) are :
USD
Estimated Long Term Growth
(% per Year) is :

%

INTRINSIC VALUE =
0.97 x (8.5 + 2 x 0.93) =

10.05 USD

MARGIN OF SAFETY =

(negative)
(not OK)
How is Long Term Growth estimated for American Express ?


Historical analysis for American Express - See detail



QUALITATIVE FILTERS FOR American Express
What are the Stars ?
DEFENSIVE
Earnings Stability OKDividends OKEarnings Growth OK
ENTERPRISING
Earnings Stability OKDividends OK
COMPANY SIZE (MKT CAP. Mls $) Very Large 27,322 mls.$ OK
The company's Market cap. is above 5000 millions dollars
-
FINANCIAL CONDITION Current Ratio na
The current ratio is under 2

The current ratio is under 1.5
LT Debt/Net Curr. Assets na
The LTdebt/current assets ratio is negative

The LTdebt/current assets ratio is negative
EARNINGS STABILITY Losses / 10 - 5 Years 0 / 0
No losses in the past ten years

No losses in the past five years
DIVIDENDS Years of Dividends 15
15 years of dividend in the past 15 years

Current dividends paid
EARNINGS GROWTH Growth 10-5 Years 34% / -58%%
Total Earnings growth above 33% for the past 10 years

Last year earnings under earnings 5 years ago
VALUATION P.E. x P/Book 57.46
P.E. x P/Book is above 22.5

P/Book is above 1.20
P.E. 24.9 NO
PE is above 15
-
P/Book 2.31 NO
P/Book is above 1.5
NO
P/Book is above 1.2

American Express - Competitors for Consumer Finance

 

STOCK QUALITY
Conservative Investors
MARGIN OF SAFETY
Long Term Growth
Price / Earnings

 

Credit Saison
- Tokyo
Nikkei 225
Consumer Finance
Financial Condition OKDividends OKEarnings Growth OKValuation OK
MARGIN OF SAFETY :
41.11 %
Long Term Growth : 4.78 %
Price / Earnings : 12.8 x
1372 / 107.19 =
Capital One Fn
- U.S.A.
SP 500
Consumer Finance
Earnings Growth OK
MARGIN OF SAFETY :
0.00 %
Long Term Growth : 0.00 %
Price / Earnings : -11.2 x
22.93 / -2.04 =
Discover Fincl
- U.S.A.
SP 500
Consumer Finance
MARGIN OF SAFETY :
0.00 %
Long Term Growth : 0.00 %
Price / Earnings : -10.0 x
8.59 / -0.86 =
SLM
- U.S.A.
SP 500
Consumer Finance
Valuation OK
MARGIN OF SAFETY :
0.00 %
Long Term Growth : 0.00 %
Price / Earnings : 6.9 x
6.51 / 0.94 =
American Express
- U.S.A.
DOW JONES 30
Consumer Finance
Earnings Stability OKDividends OKEarnings Growth OK
MARGIN OF SAFETY :
-58.40 %
Long Term Growth : 0.93 %
Price / Earnings : 24.9 x
24.15 / 0.97 =