"If you understood a business perfectly and the future of the business, you would need very little in the way of a margin of safety. So, the more vulnerable the business is, assuming you still want to invest in it, the larger margin of safety you'd need. If you're driving a truck across a bridge that says it holds 10,000 pounds and you've got a 9,800 pound vehicle, if the bridge is 6 inches above the crevice it covers, you may feel okay, but if it's over the Grand Canyon, you may feel you want a little larger margin of safety..."- 1997 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting
Warren BUFFETT
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Tesoro -

- SP 500 - Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Tesoro Corporation (Tesoro) is an independent petroleum refiners and marketers in the United States with two operating segments: refining crude oil and other feedstocks at its seven refineries in the western and mid-continental United States and selling refined products in bulk and wholesale

MARGIN OF SAFETY of Tesoro : 154.34 %
The Margin of Safety of Tesoro is OK (>50%).
How is the Margin of Safety calculated ?

QUALITY :
Conservative Investors : Earnings Growth OKValuation OK
Enterprising Investors : Earnings Stability OKEarnings Growth OK

What are the Stars ?

FORUMS
VISIT Tesoro FORUM !
Alerts : BUY at : 17.23 USD on : 1/30/2009
BUY at : 9.67 USD on : 10/31/2008
SELL at : 17.66 USD on : 7/21/2008
STOP at : 19.37 USD on : 7/1/2008
STOP at : 21.34 USD on : 6/25/2008
STOP at : 21.24 USD on : 6/18/2008
STOP at : 27.56 USD on : 6/2/2008
STOP at : 25.67 USD on : 05/13/2008
STOP at : 24.15 USD on : 02/05/2008
STOP at : 37.8 USD on : 25/01/2008
STOP at : 37.8 USD on : 01/24/2008
STOP at : 57.35 USD on : 10/29/2007
STOP at : 57.35 USD on : 10/29/2007
STOP at : 54.61 USD on : 10/09/2007
STOP at : 54.61 USD on : 10/09/2007
What are the alerts ?

Price over 1 year :

PRICE, INTRINSIC VALUE & MARGIN OF SAFETY based on GRAHAM's FORMULA
What is the Graham's Formula ?
Tesoro price is :
(as of 5/21/2009)
USD
Current Earnings per Share
(2007 est.) are :
USD
Estimated Long Term Growth
(% per Year) is :

%

INTRINSIC VALUE =
1.47 x (8.5 + 2 x 10.05) =

42.04 USD

MARGIN OF SAFETY =
(42.04 - 16.53 ) / 16.53 =

154.34 % (OK)

How is Long Term Growth estimated for Tesoro ?


Historical analysis for Tesoro - See detail



QUALITATIVE FILTERS FOR Tesoro
What are the Stars ?
DEFENSIVE
Earnings Growth OKValuation OK
ENTERPRISING
Earnings Stability OKEarnings Growth OK
COMPANY SIZE (MKT CAP. Mls $) Mid Cap. 2,246 mls.$ NO
The company's Market cap. is under 5000 millions dollars
-
FINANCIAL CONDITION Current Ratio 1.14
The current ratio is under 2

The current ratio is under 1.5
LT Debt/Net Curr. Assets 7.85
The LTdebt/current assets ratio is above 1

The LTdebt/current assets ratio is above 1.1
EARNINGS STABILITY Losses / 10 - 5 Years 1 / 0
Some losses in the past ten years

No losses in the past five years
DIVIDENDS Years of Dividends na
Less than 15 years of dividend in the past 15 years

No dividend for last year
EARNINGS GROWTH Growth 10-5 Years 831% / 151%
Total Earnings growth above 33% for the past 10 years

Last year earnings above earnings 5 years ago
VALUATION P.E. x P/Book 7.82
P.E. x P/Book is under 22.5

P/Book is under 1.20
P.E. 11.2 OK
PE is under 15
-
P/Book 0.70 OK
P/Book is under 1.5
OK
P/Book is under 1.2

Tesoro - Competitors for Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

 

STOCK QUALITY
Conservative Investors
MARGIN OF SAFETY
Long Term Growth
Price / Earnings

 

NIPPON OIL
- Tokyo
Nikkei 225
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Dividends OKEarnings Growth OKValuation OK
MARGIN OF SAFETY :
277.22 %
Long Term Growth : 15.23 %
Price / Earnings : 10.3 x
567 / 54.90 =
S-Oil
- Korea
Kospi50
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Earnings Stability OKEarnings Growth OKValuation OK
MARGIN OF SAFETY :
213.05 %
Long Term Growth : 9.99 %
Price / Earnings : 9.1 x
58400 / 6418.12 =
Valero Energy
- U.S.A.
SP 500
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Earnings Stability OKEarnings Growth OKValuation OK
MARGIN OF SAFETY :
197.62 %
Long Term Growth : 9.07 %
Price / Earnings : 8.9 x
20.76 / 2.32 =
Esso
- France
Mid&Small 190
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Dividends OKEarnings Growth OKValuation OK
MARGIN OF SAFETY :
186.45 %
Long Term Growth : 8.05 %
Price / Earnings : 8.6 x
92.7 / 10.79 =
Sunoco
- U.S.A.
SP 500
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Earnings Growth OKValuation OK
MARGIN OF SAFETY :
170.23 %
Long Term Growth : 8.23 %
Price / Earnings : 9.2 x
27.43 / 2.97 =
Tesoro
- U.S.A.
SP 500
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Earnings Growth OKValuation OK
MARGIN OF SAFETY :
154.34 %
Long Term Growth : 10.05 %
Price / Earnings : 11.2 x
16.53 / 1.47 =
Singapore Petro
- Singapore
Strait-Times
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Dividends OKValuation OK
MARGIN OF SAFETY :
111.01 %
Long Term Growth : 11.21 %
Price / Earnings : 14.8 x
5.04 / 0.34 =
Reliance Indu
- India
Nifty50
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Financial Condition OKEarnings Stability OKEarnings Growth OK
MARGIN OF SAFETY :
99.55 %
Long Term Growth : 12.70 %
Price / Earnings : 17.0 x
2185.75 / 128.68 =
Bharat Petroleum
- India
Nifty50
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Financial Condition OKEarnings Stability OKEarnings Growth OKValuation OK
MARGIN OF SAFETY :
15.58 %
Long Term Growth : 3.14 %
Price / Earnings : 12.8 x
447.55 / 35.00 =
GS Holdings
- Korea
Kospi50
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Earnings Stability OKValuation OK
MARGIN OF SAFETY :
0.00 %
Long Term Growth : 0.00 %
Price / Earnings : 6.9 x
31750 / 4577.00 =
SK Energy
- Korea
Kospi50
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Earnings Stability OKValuation OK
MARGIN OF SAFETY :
0.00 %
Long Term Growth : 0.00 %
Price / Earnings : 9.9 x
104500 / 10535.15 =
NIPPON MNING HLD
- Tokyo
Nikkei 225
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Earnings Stability OKValuation OK
MARGIN OF SAFETY :
0.00 %
Long Term Growth : 0.00 %
Price / Earnings : 8.9 x
561 / 62.88 =
HPCL
- India
Nifty50
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Financial Condition OKEarnings Stability OKValuation OK
MARGIN OF SAFETY :
0.00 %
Long Term Growth : 0.00 %
Price / Earnings : 14.3 x
321.05 / 22.50 =
Keyera Faciities
- Canada
SP/TSX Comp.
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Earnings Stability OKValuation OK
MARGIN OF SAFETY :
0.00 %
Long Term Growth : 0.00 %
Price / Earnings : 7.8 x
17.88 / 2.29 =
Reliance Petro
- India
Nifty50
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Earnings Stability OK
MARGIN OF SAFETY :
0.00 %
Long Term Growth : 0.00 %
Price / Earnings : 12.0 x
136.5 / 11.33 =
SHOWA SHELL SEKI
- Tokyo
Nikkei 225
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Earnings Stability OKDividends OKEarnings Growth OK
MARGIN OF SAFETY :
-91.91 %
Long Term Growth : 8.88 %
Price / Earnings : 324.8 x
877 / 2.70 =